Independent real-time comparison of certified vs. observed return-to-player rates across 54 live casino games, with the provider's certified RTP sheet on file for 20 of them. All data sourced from our continuous monitoring infrastructure.
Total Rounds Analyzed
3.4M
across all time windows
Games Monitored
54
with live data collection
Data Windows
7 / 30 / 90d
rolling analysis periods
Published RTP figures sourced from official Evolution Gaming and Pragmatic Play certified mathematics documentation. Observed metrics calculated from our own round-by-round data collection. This page does not constitute financial advice.
Sorted by sample size. Games with more observed rounds provide higher confidence.
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
12.81%
expected: 13.21%
Deviation
On target
Avg Multiplier
3.79x
max: 945x
Sample Size
189.9K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
13.44%
30d
12.81%
90d
12.17%
53-segment wheel: 23 Leaf1, 23 Leaf2, 4 Lil' Blues, 2 Big Oranges, 1 Huge Reds — bonus_triggered (apps/capture/games/ice_fishing.py) fires on the three fish sectors, a like-for-like match with these 7 segments.
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
31.48%
Deviation
--
Avg Multiplier
7.77x
max: 1000x
Sample Size
149.7K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
31.63%
30d
31.48%
90d
31.29%
Lightning multipliers apply each round to random dice totals. Three dice produce totals from 3 to 18.
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
14.89%
expected: 14.81%
Deviation
On target
Avg Multiplier
1.61x
max: 8x
Sample Size
140.6K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
15.07%
30d
14.89%
90d
14.9%
Lightning cards appear each round with multipliers up to 512x. RTP of 98.76% is for the Banker bet (after 20% lightning fee).
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
11.31%
expected: 11.11%
Deviation
On target
Avg Multiplier
2.63x
max: 88x
Sample Size
133.3K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
10.87%
30d
11.31%
90d
11.35%
Dice-based baccarat. RTP of 97.85% is for the Player/Banker bet. Tie bet RTP is significantly lower.
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
3.68%
Deviation
--
Avg Multiplier
4.53x
max: 980x
Sample Size
126.3K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
3.43%
30d
3.68%
90d
3.56%
No dedicated bonus round. Multiplier segments (2x, 7x) multiply the next winning segment.
Pragmatic Play
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
10.68%
expected: 0%
Deviation
--
Avg Multiplier
7.57x
max: 500x
Sample Size
121.9K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
11.13%
30d
10.68%
90d
10.83%
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
7.06%
Deviation
--
Avg Multiplier
8.82x
max: 500x
Sample Size
121.2K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
7.11%
30d
7.06%
90d
7.28%
Lightning numbers appear each round with multipliers of 50x-500x. RTP of 97.30% applies to standard bets; straight-up bets with lightning multipliers have a lower base payout (30:1 instead of 35:1).
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
16.85%
expected: 14.79%
Deviation
+2.06% above
Avg Multiplier
12.28x
max: 10000x
Sample Size
120.3K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
17.19%
30d
16.85%
90d
16.61%
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
10.65%
Deviation
--
Avg Multiplier
18.91x
max: 2000x
Sample Size
112.4K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
10.4%
30d
10.65%
90d
10.75%
Enhanced lightning multipliers every round. Chain lightning can stack multipliers up to 2,000x. Straight-up base payout reduced to 29:1.
Pragmatic Play
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
11.6%
expected: 12.96%
Deviation
-1.36% below
Avg Multiplier
5.56x
max: 1906.4x
Sample Size
107.3K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
11.77%
30d
11.6%
90d
11.67%
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
8.67%
expected: 10.7%
Deviation
-2.03% below
Avg Multiplier
4.31x
max: 832x
Sample Size
104.2K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
8.44%
30d
8.67%
90d
8.71%
Pragmatic Play
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
17.12%
expected: 16.67%
Deviation
On target
Avg Multiplier
14.27x
max: 3009x
Sample Size
95.3K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
16.96%
30d
17.12%
90d
16.91%
54-segment wheel: 18x1, 15x2, 8x5, 4x10, 4 John Silver's Loot, 2 Billy Bones' Map, 2 Ben's Lost Marbles, 1 Captain Flint's Treasure (apps/capture/games/treasure_island.py) — matches independently reported segment counts. bonus_triggered = wheelResult.type === 'BonusRound', a like-for-like match with these 9 segments.
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
18.7%
expected: 20.37%
Deviation
-1.67% below
Avg Multiplier
16.63x
max: 1250x
Sample Size
72.3K
Very High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
18.79%
30d
18.7%
90d
18.65%
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
26.67%
Deviation
--
Avg Multiplier
10.08x
max: 1000x
Sample Size
47.2K
High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
26.72%
30d
26.67%
90d
26.67%
Random multipliers applied every round to selected bet types; a round counts as a multiplier round only when the paid bet carried one. RTP varies by bet type from 95.02% to 97.22%.
Playtech
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
14.54%
expected: 14.81%
Deviation
On target
Avg Multiplier
8.46x
max: 650x
Sample Size
23.2K
High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
14.57%
30d
14.54%
90d
14.54%
54-segment wheel: 22x1, 15x2, 5x5, 4x10, plus 8 bonus segments (Magic Dice, 2 WonderSpins, 5 WonderSpins, and two Mystery segments — Card Soldiers, Wolterspins). We do not have the split of those 8 by individual bonus type, only the 8/54 total.
Pragmatic Play
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
16.84%
expected: 16.67%
Deviation
On target
Avg Multiplier
5.24x
max: 327x
Sample Size
13.6K
High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
16.96%
30d
16.84%
90d
16.84%
54-segment wheel: 45 instant-win number segments (1x/2x/5x/10x), 9 bonus segments (1 Life Totem, 2 Lives Totem, 3 Rolls Board, 5 Rolls Board). We do not have the split of those 9 by individual bonus type, only the 9/54 total.
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
16.98%
expected: 14.79%
Deviation
+2.19% above
Avg Multiplier
12.41x
max: 3200x
Sample Size
11.8K
High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
16.99%
30d
16.98%
90d
16.98%
Evolution's second Crazy Time studio table (tableId CrazyTime0000002) — identical 54-segment wheel and bonus games as Crazy Time, so the certified rate carries over directly (apps/capture/games/crazy_time_a.py inherits CrazyTimeConfig unchanged).
Evolution Gaming
Bonus Rate (Obs.)
19.26%
Deviation
--
Avg Multiplier
679.83x
max: 11700x
Sample Size
11.6K
High Confidence
Bonus Rate by Window
7d
18.94%
30d
19.26%
90d
19.26%
Coin-flip base game with qualification round and top-up multiplier phase; outcomes are per player, so we track winners and top multipliers per round. RTP based on optimal play.
Evolution Gaming
Evolution Gaming
Bingo-style game. RTP varies by number of cards purchased (1-200). Published RTP of 95.40% is the theoretical maximum.
The theoretical Return-to-Player percentage as certified by independent testing laboratories and published in the game provider's official mathematics documentation. This represents the long-term statistical expectation over millions of rounds under perfect conditions.
Metrics calculated from our continuous round-by-round data collection. We record every spin result, multiplier, and bonus trigger from live game feeds. "Observed Bonus Rate" measures how frequently bonus rounds trigger compared to the provider's theoretical rate.
A composite score (0-100) measuring how closely observed bonus frequency matches the theoretical expectation. Scores above 90 indicate excellent alignment. The score is derived from the percentage deviation between observed and expected bonus trigger rates.
Statistical confidence increases with sample size. Games with fewer than 1,000 observed rounds should be interpreted with caution -- short-term variance can produce significant deviations from theoretical values. Games with 10,000+ rounds offer high-confidence metrics.