Mega Wheel Bonus probability calculator
Number 30 lands on 1.85% of Mega Wheel rounds (1 in 54). Pick an outcome and a number of rounds to see the odds, the average wait and how unusual the current drought is.
Formulas: P(at least one in N) = 1 - (1 - p)^N; average wait = 1 / p; P(wait ≥ k) = (1 - p)^k.
Theoretical p = 20 of 54 segments; source: content-src/guides/mega-wheel/rtp.md (segment counts; src/lib/game-config.ts MEGAWHEEL_THEORETICAL does not reconcile with its own 54-segment total and was not used).
Each round is independent: past results do not change the next round's odds, and no wait makes an outcome "due". Theoretical figures come from the provider's published rules; observed figures come from our own tracker and change as rounds arrive. 18+. Past results do not predict future outcomes. Play with money you can afford to lose.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the odds of Number 30 on a single Mega Wheel round?
- 1.85% per round, or about 1 in 54. Every round is independent, so this number never changes with what came before.
- How many Mega Wheel rounds until Number 30 is likely?
- On average one hit every 54 rounds; half of all waits are over within 38 rounds. For a 90% chance of at least one hit you need 124 rounds, for 99% about 247.
- Is Mega Wheel "due" a Number 30 after a long wait?
- No. A wait of 120 rounds without Number 30 happens 10.6% of the time from any starting point, and the next round still has the same 1.85% chance. The calculator tells you how unusual a wait is, not that a hit is coming.
- Where do the theoretical and observed numbers come from?
- Theoretical odds use the published rules (content-src/guides/mega-wheel/rtp.md (segment counts; src/lib/game-config.ts MEGAWHEEL_THEORETICAL does not reconcile with its own 54-segment total and was not used)). Observed figures come from the rounds our tracker has recorded and change as new rounds arrive.
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